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Access Holdings Faces New Challenge as Focus Shifts from Expansion to Shareholder Returns

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Access Holdings Plc is entering a critical phase in its corporate journey, with attention shifting from aggressive expansion to delivering stronger returns, improving efficiency and creating sustainable value for shareholders.

After years of acquisitions, capital raising and expansion into international markets, the financial services group has built one of Africa’s most extensive banking networks. Its next challenge is to ensure that its growing size translates into consistently stronger profitability.

The group ended 2025 with total assets of ₦51.56 trillion, while profit before tax exceeded ₦1 trillion. These figures reflect the scale of its expansion strategy, which has helped transform Access from a Nigerian commercial bank into a diversified financial services group operating across several markets.

However, analysts note that a larger balance sheet does not automatically guarantee higher returns for investors. Acquisitions bring additional operational costs, regulatory obligations, credit risks and capital requirements, all of which can affect profitability.

Access Holdings’ 2025 financial performance reflected both progress and continuing pressure. Its cost-to-income ratio improved from 56.7 per cent to 51.7 per cent, suggesting greater operating efficiency. However, return on average equity declined from 21.6 per cent to 18.4 per cent, partly because of higher impairment charges associated with legacy loans and previously regulated exposures.

The decision to strengthen provisions against troubled loans is intended to improve the quality of the group’s balance sheet and establish a more sustainable foundation for future growth.

International expansion offers opportunities

Access Holdings’ operations outside Nigeria have become an increasingly important contributor to earnings. Pre-tax profit from its African subsidiaries rose to approximately ₦284 billion in 2025, up from ₦201 billion in the previous year.

Its international network also creates opportunities to serve businesses engaged in cross-border trade, payments, foreign exchange and trade finance.

Nevertheless, the group must demonstrate that each market can generate adequate returns relative to the capital invested. Currency fluctuations and differences in regulatory requirements can also affect the performance of international subsidiaries.

Management is therefore expected to place greater emphasis on the financial contribution of individual businesses, with restructuring or other strategic changes remaining possible where subsidiaries consistently fall short of their objectives.

Nigeria remains central to growth

Despite its international footprint, Nigeria remains the group’s core market and a major opportunity for improved performance.

The group’s Nigerian business recorded an 8 per cent year-on-year increase in pre-tax profit in 2025, although higher loan-loss provisions and pressure on interest margins weighed on earnings.

Rather than relying primarily on acquisitions or opening additional branches, the group could generate stronger returns by deepening relationships with existing customers.

For individuals, this includes expanding the use of savings, payments, cards and credit services. For businesses, opportunities exist in collections, payroll management, supplier payments, trade finance and cash management.

Its non-banking businesses, including Access Pensions, Access Insurance Brokers, Hydrogen Payments and Oxygen X Finance, also offer opportunities to diversify revenue through fees and other services beyond traditional lending.

The commercial test, however, will be whether these businesses can attract customers, generate recurring income and operate efficiently enough to justify the capital invested in them.

Dividends and shareholder expectations

Shareholders will also be watching the group’s ability to translate reported profits into sustainable distributions.

Access Holdings did not declare a dividend for the 2025 financial year amid outstanding regulatory requirements. The board indicated that the decision was not a reflection of weaker operating performance and that dividend payments could resume once the necessary conditions were met.

The timing of any resumption will be an important consideration for investors assessing the group’s progress.

Ultimately, Access Holdings’ transition from expansion to value creation will require sustained improvements in profitability, asset quality, operating efficiency and returns on capital.

The group has established a substantial financial services platform. Its next task is to demonstrate that the platform can generate dependable earnings and shareholder returns over the long term.

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